1. 미국 2024년 평가. 미국 노조 (AFL-CIO) 주장 , 민주당이 물가상승 때문에 힘겨워 하는 저소득층 노동자들과의 연결끈이 약해서, 트럼프에게 졌다
AFL-CIO 에 따르면, 노조원 유권자들의 경우, 민주당 해리스가 공화당 트럼프보다 17% 더 투표했으나, 비노조원인 경우, 저소득층 유권자들은 트럼프에 더 많이 투표했다.
(* AFL–CIO는 1955년 미국노동연맹(AFL)과 산별조직회의(CIO)가 통합해 만든 노동총동맹. 1979년에는 최대 2천만 조직원이었으나,지금은 1205만 조합원.
리즈 슐러 (미 노동총연맹 AFL-CIO) 대표의 선거 평가. 민주당이 이번 대선에서 경제적으로 불안정한 노동자들의 공감대를 형성하지 못했기 때문에, 트럼프에게 패배했다고 말했다.
2.
선거 기간에 민주당 후보 해리스가 지난 4년간 바이든 정부의 치적에 대해서 선전했지만, 그것은 매일 힘겹게 일상 생활을 꾸려나가는 노동자들의 일상 생활과는 거리가 있었다.
3. 트럼프 선거 전술
트럼프가 먹을 음식을 살 때도, 인플레이션 때문에 힘겨운 현실을 지적했다. 트럼프 1기 끝무렵이 조 바이든 정부 끝무렵보다 더 먹고 살기가 더 좋지 않았느냐는 트럼프 질문에, 많은 유권자들이 "그렇다"고 답했으니까.
4. 미국 노동조합 내 분열
미국 다수 노조와 AFL-CIO 노동총연맹은 민주당 해리스를 지지했고, 팀스터를 포함 몇 개 노조는 해리스 지지에 서명하지 않았다.
5. 향후 미국 노조의 전망.
미국인 70%가 노동조합 결성과 활동에 찬성한다. 최근 60년만에 최고 지지율이다.
30세 미만 미국인의 88%가 노동조합에 우호적이다.
트럼프 2기 집권에서, 노동자 권리에 반하는 역행, 혹은 '통제적 공격'이 개시된다면, 의회와 정책 측면에서 뿐만 아니라, 노동자들의 즉각적인 대응책을 강구할 것이다. 수동적인 방어 뿐만 아니라, 노동조합을 더 강하게 만들고 노동자들의 조직화에 박차를 가함으로써 '공격적' 태도를 취할 것이다.
백악관에서 트럼프가 어떤 일을 벌이더라도, 우리 노동자들은 일터에서 집단행동력을 견지할 것이다.
Harris campaign failed to connect with working class, US union federation says
AFL-CIO president says Democrats did not listen to low-income voters struggling to make ends meet
Michael Sainato
Sat 16 Nov 2024 12.00 GMT
Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign failed to connect with low-income workers across the US because it resorted to “telling people versus listening”, according to a senior union leader.
Liz Shuler, president of the American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organizations (AFL-CIO), said the Democrat’s bid for the White House did not resonate with working-class people who remain “very much economically insecure”.
In an interview with the Guardian, she described a “disconnect” between the day-to-day experiences of those struggling to make ends meet, and efforts by the Harris campaign to highlight a “set of accomplishments and track record” under Joe Biden’s administration.
“When you’re struggling to put food on the table, and you’re still dealing with inflation … the messaging that Trump was saying was effective,” Shuler said. Donald Trump’s campaign framed the election around whether voters were better four years ago – before he left office – than they are now, she noted. “And a lot of people answered that question: ‘yes.’”
The AFL-CIO is the largest federation of labor unions in the US comprising of 60 national and international unions representing over 12.5 million members.
Harris had an almost 17-point lead among union members, according to the AFL-CIO. But outside of labor unions, low-income voters disproportionately voted for Trump.
“We’re meeting and discussing within our own ranks about how we can actually translate the messaging that we were able to galvanize our members around,” said Shuler, “which did resonate since we turned out at higher numbers than the general public for Harris”.
The majority of US labor unions and the AFL-CIO endorsed Harris over Trump, and several labor unions and groups engaged in vast door knocking and get-out-the-vote efforts ahead of the election. A handful, including the Teamsters, declined to endorse a candidate.
Over the past four years Biden has delivered massive investments in infrastructure and chip technology, and a federal labor department that supported workers and policies backed by labor unions. Now the wider labor movement is bracing for Trump’s return.
“It’s definitely a sucker punch, but we pivot very quickly into the fight ahead,” Shuler continued. “The labor movement is evergreen. It’s endured through presidents, every four years, for over 100 years, and we’ve been there, done that. We are an institution that will continue to exist and fight forward no matter who’s in the Oval Office.”
The environment under Trump “won’t be positive”, she added. “But it doesn’t mean that we don’t continue to organize, and continue to fight back. It’s what we do.”
Citing a recent meeting of the AFL-CIO’s executive council of 60 labor union leaders, Shuler emphasized the importance of solidarity across the movement to ensure individual unions and worker groups aren’t left fending off rollbacks and attacks on their own.
According to a September survey by Gallup, 70% of the American public approve of labor unions – nearly a 60-year high. This support appears even stronger among younger people, with 88%of Americans under the age of 30 viewing unions favorably, according to an AFL-CIO poll last year.
Shuler is bracing for a battle that is “both defensive and offensive” during the second Trump presidency.
“Every single issue that we see coming out of this administration, where there’s a rollback or a regulatory attack, we are going to be the fighting force that not only pushes back in terms of the fightback in Congress and the policy angles, but on the ground, because this is going to have to be a mobilization fighting force that is on sort of rapid response,” she said. “While we’re on that defensive posture, we’re also going to be on offense, in the sense that organizing and growth have been our number one priority. That is not going to stop.
“No matter what happens in Washington DC, we’re still going to have that power of collective action in the workplace.”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/16/harris-campaign-working-class-union-economy