도널드 트럼프는 북한과 협상하기 위해 제 2차 북미 정상 회담 개최할 가능성이 크다.

(1) 미국 트럼프와 북한 김정은 협상의 궁극적 목표를 분명히 할 필요가 있다. 북한은 미국이 실질적인 체제보장과 군사적 불가침의 제도화 없이는 비핵화를 하지 않을 것이다. 현재 북미간 교착 상태를 깨기 위해서는 미국과 북한이 이번 비핵화 협상의 정치적 목표에 대해서 공감해야 한다. 북한이 동창리 미사일 엔진시험장과 발사대 영구 폐쇄를 실천하면, 미국은 '평양과 와싱턴에 연락사무소'를 설치해야 한다. 그리고 나서 북한이 영변 핵시설 폐기를 실천하면, 경제 제재 조치를 풀어줘야 한다. 이러한 북미간 상호 신뢰를 쌓아나가는 과정이 필요하다. 미국이 2021년 1월까지 북한 비핵화를 요구했으면, 미국도 이에 상응하는 북미 수교, 평양과 와싱턴에 대사관 설립을 실행해야 한다.  

(2) 종전 선언은 주한미군 철수 여부와 상관없이, 한반도 전역에서 '적국'을 가상한 대규모 군사훈련 중지, 상호불가침 조약 등을 일차적으로 포함해야 한다. 

(3) 평화협정은 남북한 미국 뿐만 아니라, 러시아 중국 일본 및 아시아 국가들이 주체가 되어 '냉전 질서' 체제를 종식시키는 것으로 발전되어야 한다. 다자간 안보 체제를 동북아시아에서 만들어야 한다.

(4) 제 3차 문재인 김정은 정상회담의 성과는 제 2차 북미 정상회담 가능성를 키웠다는 것이다.

문재인 김정은 제 3차 정상회담 이후, 미국 폼페오 국무장관 북한과 협상 다시 시작한다. 

뉴욕에서 다음 중에 폼페오 - 리용호 회담 재개하고, 오스트리아 빈에서 미국과 북한 대표부 회의할 예정이다. 

미국측 2021년 1월까지 북한 비핵화 완료 요구하고 있다.

미국은 북한과 '평화협정' 맺을 가능성이 크다고 영국 bbc 통신원 판단.

도널드 트럼프는 북한과 협상하기 위해 제 2차 북미 정상 회담 개최할 가능성이 크다. 

US 'ready to restart negotiations' with North Korea

2 hours ago

North Korea's agreed to shut one of the country's main missile launch sites. Laura Bicker considers what might happen next.

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo says he is ready to restart negotiations with Pyongyang, with the aim of denuclearising North Korea "by 2021".

Discussions between the two sides had stalled following a broad-strokes agreement made earlier this year.

But this week's inter-Korean summit saw the North's Kim Jong-un agreeing to shut a major missile launch site.

South Korean President Moon Jae-in also gave an unprecedented speech in front of tens of thousands of North Koreans.

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An image of Mr Kim and Mr Moon was projected onto screens during the unprecedented joint appearance at the mass games

Mr Kim "agreed on a way to achieve denuclearisation" on the Korean peninsula following the summit with his South Korean counterpart, Moon Jae-in.

Mr Pompeo said it was "on the basis of these important commitments" that the US was "prepared to engage immediately in negotiations".

In a statement, he said he had invited North Korean Foreign Minister Ri Yong-ho to meet him in New York next week, while invitations had been extended for a second meeting between North Korean and US representatives in Vienna, Austria.

"This will mark the beginning of negotiations to transform US-DPRK [North Korea] relations through the process of rapid denuclearisation of North Korea, to be completed by January 2021, as committed by Chairman Kim, and to construct a lasting and stable peace regime on the Korean Peninsula," he said.

The January 2021 date is the most specific timeline an official on either side has put forward publicly so far.

What happened at the summit?

The main focus of the summit between Mr Kim and Mr Moon was the issue of denuclearisation.

Mr Kim expressed a readiness to shut down the Yongbyon nuclear facility - where North Korea is believed to have produced the material used in its nuclear tests - if the US takes some reciprocal action.

The BBC's Laura Bicker in Seoul says that is likely to be the US signing a peace treaty to formally end the Korean War.

But he went further on Tongchang-ri, saying the engine missile testing and launch facility would be permanently closed "in the presence of experts from relevant nations". 

Our correspondent say that is a major step forward.

Satellite images suggest Tongchang-ri (동창리) is in the process of being destroyed, she adds, but the declaration will allow inspectors to verify the process.

Tongchang-ri has been North Korea's main satellite launch facility since 2012, according to monitoring group 38 North.

It has also been used for testing engines for North Korean missiles capable of reaching the US.

North Korea blew up its main nuclear testing site at Punggye-ri shortly before Mr Kim's meeting with US President Donald Trump in June.

On Thursday, the two leaders of North and South embarked on a trip to Mount Paektu which holds a central place in Korean mythology. The volcano is situated at the border between the North and China.

What does this mean for US?

Mr Trump welcomed the agreements, which he said were "tremendous progress", and was quick to tweet his applause for the Moon-Kim summit.

Skip Twitter post by @realDonaldTrump

Donald J. Trump

✔

@realDonaldTrump

 Kim Jong Un has agreed to allow Nuclear inspections, subject to final negotiations, and to permanently dismantle a test site and launch pad in the presence of international experts. In the meantime there will be no Rocket or Nuclear testing. Hero remains to continue being returned home to the United States. Also, North and South Korea will file a joint bid to host the 2032 Olympics. Very exciting!........

12:04 AM - Sep 19, 2018

The US and North Korea held their own historic meeting in June when Mr Trump and Mr Kim agreed in broad terms to work towards denuclearisation.

Since then, however, there has been little progress, with no clear process nor timeline laid out, while an abruptly cancelled trip to Pyongyang by Mr Pompeo in August led to speculation relations had soured somewhat.

Will historic Koreas summit lead to peace?

Most observers warn that so far the North has taken no meaningful steps to end its controversial nuclear weapons programme and that this week's summit might not be enough to convince them otherwise.

But Mr Trump has remained confident of the North Koreans' commitment, recently saying that he and Mr Kim would "prove everyone wrong", after he received an invitation from the North Korean leader for a second summit. Both sides say they are working on making that meeting happen.