2025 Feb 23 독일 총선 출구 조사. 기민 29%, AfD 19.6%, 사민당 16%, 녹색 12.3%, 좌파당 8.6%
'Germany has become a bit more normal' - senior policy fellow
published at 12:45
12:45
Dr Jana Puglierin from the European Council on Foreign Relations says she believes the exit poll results are in line with a "broader trend throughout Europe".
"I think Germany has become a bit more normal, we have been an outlier in Europe with relatively small numbers of the far-right," she says, referring to the rise of the AfD.
The senior policy fellow tells the BBC that this is "worrying me greatly", adding that a new coalition government will have to deliver.
It was "crucial" for the leader of the conservative CDU party, Friedrich Merz, to have his party receive 30% or more of the vote share, Dr Puglierin says, adding that below that figure "opens the field for possible competitors".
First projection shows conservative CDU in the lead
published at 12:38
12:38
Breaking
Here's the first projection from German public broadcaster ARD. Unlike the earlier exit poll, a projection is based on real results, but as you can see, the numbers are very similar.
Initial projection
The Christian Democrats (CDU) are set for about 211 seats in parliament according to this calculation. If these numbers are borne out then they might be able form a coalition with the Social Democrats (SPD), despite their poor performance.
But that depends on whether the yellow party - the economic liberal FDP - gets into parliament. If the FDP doesn't get in, then the arithmetic works in the CDU's favour.
Under 5% and the FDP won't get in, but it's too early to say.
There are 630 seats in the new parliament.
