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캐나다 총선 결과 - 캐나다 총선제도"승자독식 소선구제" - 미국 트럼프에 저항하고자, 진보유권자들이 '자유당'에 표를 몰아줘, 진보적인 '신민주당'은 22석에서 7석으로 줄어들었다.

by 원시 2025. 4. 30.

 

1. 트럼프의 '캐나다 합병' 발언과 관세 전쟁 이후, 캐나다 단결론이 전국에 퍼져나감. 전국적으로는 미국에 미지근한 입장을 가진 보수당보다는 '미국 반대'를 외친 자유당 쪽으로 표가 쏠렸다. 그 바람에 '승자 독식 소선구제'를 채택하고 있는 캐나다에서 정치적 피해자가 발생했다. 제 3의 정당을 고수해온 사민주의 계열 '신민주당 NDP'가 정치적 피해를 당했다. 그 단적인 사례로, 토론토 옆 도시 해밀턴 센터 지역구에서 신민주당은 지난 20년간 국회의원을 배출해 왔다. 그런데 이번 조기 총선에서 자유당 후보에게 자리를 내주고 말았다. 보수당보다는 자유당이 집권해 미국 트럼프와 맞서야 한다는 유권자들의 '전략적 투표' 결정 때문이다. 

 

2. 캐나다 인구가 가장 많은 온타리오주와, 토론토에서 신민주당이 의석이 0석이 되었다. 근래 보기 드문 현상이다.

향후 신민주당의 '리더십' 문제, COVID 이후 보수화된 캐나다 사회에 대한 대안, 약화되고 있는 캐나다 복지국가 모델, 승자독식 소선구제도라는 '선거법' 개정 과제, 이민자 정책 등 수많은 과제들에 대한 신민주당의 대안이 필요한 시점이다.

 

 

 

 

 

 

How Canada voted - in charts

7 hours ago

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Phil Leake, Alison Benjamin, Daniel Wainwright and Jess Carr
Data journalism team
BBC

Mark Carney's Liberal Party has won enough seats in the House of Commons to form a government in Canada.

However, CBC News projects they will fall short of the majority they wanted.

Carney is set to remain prime minister, having only assumed the role in early March following Justin Trudeau's resignation.

His main rival, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre, has lost his own seat as has Jagmeet Singh, leader of the New Democratic Party (NDP).

 

Carney's Liberals are leading in 169 seats but would need 172 for a majority.

The Conservatives are set to remain in opposition as the second-largest party and are leading in 144 seats, with 99% of polls having reported results.

 

The Bloc Québécois is leading in 22 seats and only runs candidates in the province of Quebec. The NDP is leading in seven seats and the Green Party in one.

 

Both the Liberals and the Conservatives have seen a significant rise in their share of the national vote compared with four years ago.

 

Increased support for Canada's two largest parties has come at the expense of smaller parties, particularly the NDP whose share of the popular vote is down by almost 12 percentage points.

 

The increased support for the Conservatives was not enough to save Poilievre, who lost his own seat in Carleton, Ontario.

 

The 45-year-old had promised a return to "common sense politics".

 

Opinion polls at the start of the year had the Conservatives over 20 percentage points ahead of the Liberals.

 

But after the resignation of former Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the arrival of new PM Mark Carney and the tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump, that lead evaporated.

 

In his own seat, Poilievre had 90 opponents, mostly independent candidates linked to a group calling for electoral reform.

 

NDP leader Singh also lost his own seat in the House of Commons, coming third behind the Liberal and Conservative candidates.

 

 

Canada has a "first-past-the-post" electoral system.

 

 

The candidate who gets the most votes in each electoral district, or riding, wins that seat and become a Member of Parliament (MP).

 

 

The Liberals and the Conservatives have dominated the popular vote, with both parties receiving more than 40% each of ballots counted across Canada.

 

 

This has them on track to win a combined 90% of seats.

 

 

The NDP has received just over 6% of the total vote, but this translates to just 2% of seats in the House of Commons.

The Bloc Québécois has just over 6% of the vote and a similar share of seats.

 

 

 

The Liberals are on course to win the most seats in the key provinces of Ontario and Quebec, which account for 200 of Canada's 343 electoral districts.

 

The Conservatives are ahead in Alberta, while there is little to choose between the two main parties in British Columbia.

 

 

 

 

One of the most closely-watched areas was around Toronto. The "905" are places that all share the same telephone code.

 

While the Liberals are projected to have won in most of Toronto, including a seat they lost in a by-election last year, the Conservatives were able to flip some of the ridings in the surrounding region.

 

The NDP are also projected to have lost a seat, Hamilton Centre, that they'd held for over 20 years.

신민주당의 패배. 20년간 국회의원을 배출해 온 해밀턴 센터 지역구에서, 신민주당은 의석을 잃음.

 

After Ontario, Quebec is the second most populated province of Canada and has a big impact on the results of federal elections.

 

The Bloc Québécois, which focuses on Quebec interests and only runs candidates in the province, was defending 35 seats, a number which changed after boundaries were reviewed. It is projected to have lost 13.

 

Most of those have flipped to the Liberal party while one is narrowly projected to have gone to the Conservatives.

The Liberals won Terrebonne from the Bloc by a margin of just 35 votes.

 

The riding of Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou is one of the largest in Canada by land area and has also flipped from the Bloc to the Liberals.

 

The NDP held on to their seat in Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie in Montreal.

 

신민주당, 퀘벡 주에서 1석 유지.

 

 

 

 

 

Turnout has surpassed the levels seen in 2015 and 2019, with 69% of registered electors having voted. This is according to the preliminary results from Elections Canada.

 

 

More than 7 million Canadians cast their ballots in advance, setting a new record for early voter turnout, Elections Canada said

 

 

출처. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4jd39g8y1o

 

Canada election 2025 results in charts

Early results suggest the Liberal Party will win enough seats in the House of Commons to form a government.

www.bbc.com

 

 

참고.

 

https://globalnews.ca/news/11153632/canada-election-ndp-jagmeet-singh-results-future/

 

What next for the NDP after party loses leader, seats and official status? - National | Globalnews.ca

The NDP was projected to fall to a distant fourth place, with Leader Jagmeet Singh losing his riding and the party losing official status in the House of Commons.

globalnews.ca