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캐나다 4월 28일 '조기 총선' 트럼프의 '캐나다 합병' 발언 이후, 보수당에게 26% 뒤졌던 자유당이 극적으로 총선 승리. 주권국가 자존심 훼손한 트럼프의 오만함이 캐나다 '조기 총선'에 미친 영향

by 원시 2025. 4. 30.

1. 트럼프의 '캐나다 합병' 발언 이후, 보수당에게 26% 뒤졌던 자유당이 극적으로 총선 승리.

주권국가 자존심 훼손한 트럼프의 오만함이 캐나다 '조기 총선'에 미친 영향

(1) 권력 피해자가 된 보수당. 어중간한 태도를 취한 보수당이 다 잡은 권력을 놓침

(2) 기사회생 자유당. '캐나다 단결'에 호소한 자유당의 극적 회생

(3) 제도적 피해자. 신민주당과 퀘벡 블록. 소선거구 '1등 독식' 총선 제도 때문에, 사회민주주의 입장을 가진 신민주당(NDP)는 지난 24석에서 17석을 잃어 7석만 획득했다.

퀘벡주의 자치정당인 퀘벡블록도 35석에서 13석을 잃어, 22석만 획득했다. 이 두 정당이 잃은 30석은 두 거대정당인 자유당과 보수당으로 갈라져 배분되었다. 녹색당은 2석에서 1석 잃어 1석만 남았다. 

 

2. 조기 총선 결과를 뒤집은 트럼프의 '캐나다 합병 발언' 이후, 캐나다인들 일론 머스크 '테슬라' 자동차 공격 

4월 28일 캐나다 '조기' 총선에서, 총 343석 중, 자유당 169석, 보수당 144석, 퀘벡 블록 22석, 신민주당 7석, 녹색당 1석으로, 자유당이 보수당을 누르고 기적같이 승리했다. 

 

트럼프의 패권적인 오만함 때문에, 여론조사에서 보수당에게 26%나 뒤처져있던 자유당이 극적으로 역전승을 거뒀다. 지난 1월 지지율이 하락하자 자유당 출신 트루도 총리가 자진 사임했을 때만 해도, 보수당의 총선 승리는 확정적이었다. 그러나 3월 갑자기 트럼프가 자유당 신임 대표 마크 카니에게 전화해, '캐나다가 미국의 51번째 주가 되어라'고 말한 후, 일부 보수파들만 제외하고 대다수 캐나다인들이 트럼프의 오만한 발언에 분노했다 (캐나다 미국합병 찬성 13%, 반대 82%).

 

그 이후, 캐나다인들이 캐나다 퀸즈 대학을 졸업하고 미국 캐나다 이중시민인 일론 머스크의 테슬라 자동차 판매소를 때려부수거나 그 앞에서 테슬라 구매 반대 운동을 펼쳤다. 캐나다에서 보기 드문 과격한 시위가 연일 계속되었다.

 

3.  캐나다 총선 결과 후에도, 여전히 캐나다 합병론을 발표하는 트럼프. 불투명한 외교관계 지속될 것이다.  

 트럼프가 캐나다 새 총리 마크 카니에게 선거 축하 인사보냈으나, 향후 미-캐나다 관계는 불투명하다.  캐나다 새 총리가 된 마크 카니는 총선 전부터 트럼프의 캐나다 합병 주장을 반대해 오고 있다. 트럼프 입장. (애나 켈리 발표) 캐나다 총선 결과과 상관없이 미국 트럼프는 캐나다를 미국의 51번째 주로 편입시키고자 하는 계획을 추진할 것이다. 

 

조기 총선 전 여론조사. 파란색 (캐나다 보수당), 빨간색 (자유당), 오렌지색 (신민주당) 

 

 

US President Donald Trump has called Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney to congratulate him on his victory in the country's general election and the two have agreed meet in the near future.

The two countries were expected to enter talks about a new economic and security relationship after Monday's vote.

 

Trump's trade tariffs and repeated comments undermining Canada's sovereignty overshadowed the race, which ended with Carney's Liberals projected to win a minority government, according to public broadcaster CBC.

 

 

That result will make Carney's pressing tasks of negotiating with his US counterpart and tackling a range of domestic issues more of a challenge, as he'll need to wrangle support from other political parties.

In their first call since the election, Trump congratulated Carney on his victory, according to the prime minister's office on Tuesday.

 

The office also said the two leaders had "agreed on the importance of Canada and the United States working together – as independent, sovereign nations – for their mutual betterment".

 

The Liberals will need to rely on their support to pass legislation through the House of Commons.

They also face possible defeat in any vote of confidence in the chamber.

 

 

 

The Liberals are most likely to find willing partners with the diminished left-wing New Democrats, who have in the past supported the Liberals, and the Bloc Québécois.

 

The Liberals are projected to have won 169 seats, three short of the 172 needed for a majority in Canada's House of Commons.

 

It still marks a historic turnaround for a party that had seemed on course for collapse just months ago.

 

Carney, a former central banker for Canada and the UK, will continue as prime minister, having stepped into the role last month following his unpopular predecessor Justin Trudeau's resignation.

 

One issue where it may be easy for the Liberals to find support in the House is in passing legislation to help workers and industries affected by US tariffs - something all parties swung behind on the campaign trail.

 

 

On Tuesday morning, Bloc Québécois leader Yves-Francois Blanchet suggested Carney could benefit from at least a period of stability in the House.

 

Blanchet urged a "truce" among parties while Canada negotiated trade with the US, saying it was clear Canadians wanted political stability in unstable times.

 

 

He said it wasn't time for other parties to "threaten to overthrow the government anytime soon" and didn't see any scenario "other than collaboration for a period of slightly over a year".

 

The leader of the sovereigntist party, which only runs candidates in Quebec, did urge Carney to avoid pressing the province on certain issues, noting that collaboration goes both ways.

 

On Tuesday, the White House commented on Carney's win, with deputy press secretary Anna Kelly saying: "The election does not affect President Trump's plan to make Canada America's cherished 51st state."

 

In an interview with the BBC, Carney said that Canada deserves "respect" from the US and he will only allow a Canada-US trade and security partnership "on our terms".

 

트럼프 입장. (애나 켈리 발표) 캐나다 총선 결과과 상관없이 미국 트럼프는 캐나다를 미국의 51번째 주로 편입시키고자 하는 계획을 추진할 것이다. 

 

Carney has told the BBC that a 51st state scenario was "never, ever going to happen".

 

Meanwhile, new US ambassador to Canada, Pete Hoekstra, said in a video statement that he is "committed to making progress in this great relationship".

 

Carney has also promised action on a range of domestic issues, including tackling the country's housing crisis and tax cuts for lower- and middle-income Canadians.

 

The prime minister also needs to prepare for the G7 summit in June, which Canada is hosting in the province of Alberta.

In Monday's election, both the Liberals and the Conservatives saw a significant rise in their share of the national vote compared with four years ago.

 

The Conservative Party came in second, on track to win 144 seats, and will form Official Opposition.

 

Increased support for Canada's two largest parties has come at the expense of smaller parties, particularly the NDP, whose share of the popular vote is down by around 12 percentage points.

 

Voter turnout for the election was 67%.

 

Both Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre and NDP leader Jagmeet Singh lost their seats, with Singh announcing he will step down as leader of the left-wing party.

 

 

 

참고.

 

https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/mark-carney-crisis-fighting-central-banker-lead-canada-through-us-trade-war-2025-04-29/

 

 

참고.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/4/28/canada-election-2025-whats-at-stake-polls-and-when-to-expect-results

 

Canada election results: What’s at stake, and what the polls say

Millions of Canadians head to the polls to elect a new government in the shadow of concerns over Trump’s tariff regime.

www.aljazeera.com